Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.000064 0.000067 0.000071 0.000074 0.000078 0.000082 0.000086
2025-02-23 0.000062 0.000067 0.000072 0.000077 0.000084 0.000092 0.000100
2025-03-02 0.000057 0.000062 0.000068 0.000076 0.000084 0.000094 0.000106
2025-03-09 0.000053 0.000059 0.000065 0.000073 0.000083 0.000094 0.000109
2025-03-16 0.000051 0.000057 0.000064 0.000073 0.000084 0.000097 0.000115
2025-03-23 0.000050 0.000056 0.000064 0.000074 0.000087 0.000102 0.000124
2025-03-30 0.000048 0.000055 0.000063 0.000073 0.000087 0.000104 0.000128
2025-04-06 0.000045 0.000052 0.000060 0.000071 0.000085 0.000102 0.000128
2025-04-13 0.000043 0.000049 0.000057 0.000068 0.000082 0.000100 0.000126
2025-04-20 0.000041 0.000047 0.000055 0.000065 0.000079 0.000097 0.000125
2025-04-27 0.000039 0.000045 0.000053 0.000064 0.000078 0.000096 0.000125
2025-05-04 0.000039 0.000045 0.000053 0.000064 0.000079 0.000100 0.000132
2025-05-11 0.000038 0.000045 0.000053 0.000065 0.000082 0.000105 0.000142
2025-05-18 0.000038 0.000046 0.000055 0.000068 0.000087 0.000114 0.000161
2025-05-25 0.000037 0.000044 0.000053 0.000067 0.000086 0.000114 0.000163
2025-06-01 0.000035 0.000042 0.000051 0.000065 0.000084 0.000113 0.000164
2025-06-08 0.000034 0.000042 0.000051 0.000064 0.000085 0.000115 0.000171
2025-06-15 0.000034 0.000041 0.000051 0.000065 0.000087 0.000121 0.000184
2025-06-22 0.000033 0.000040 0.000050 0.000065 0.000087 0.000122 0.000189
2025-06-29 0.000032 0.000039 0.000048 0.000063 0.000084 0.000119 0.000187
2025-07-06 0.000030 0.000037 0.000046 0.000060 0.000081 0.000115 0.000182
2025-07-13 0.000029 0.000036 0.000045 0.000058 0.000078 0.000112 0.000178
2025-07-20 0.000028 0.000035 0.000043 0.000057 0.000077 0.000110 0.000178